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Silicon Valley Index:
Innovation Economy Stalled
February 15, 2010
The
economic recession has stalled Silicon Valley’s vibrant innovation
economy and left its global competitive standing at risk as never
before.
A comprehensive yearly study on the economic strength and overall health
of Silicon Valley reveals that rapid economic growth in other countries,
coupled with California’s legislative gridlock, is draining the
lifeblood of funding and foreign talent from Silicon Valley, leaving
recovery in a "new phase of uncertainty."
"Silicon Valley’s innovation engine has driven the region’s prosperity
for 60 years, but at the moment we’re stalled," said Russell Hancock,
CEO of Joint Venture. "What’s hard to say is whether we’re stuck in
neutral, which has happened before, or whether it’s time now for a
complete overhaul."
"This year’s Special Analysis is a call to action for all of us," said
Emmett D. Carson, Ph.D., CEO and president of Silicon Valley Community
Foundation. "On the heels of the worst economic year since the Great
Depression, our region has entered a new era of uncertainty in which our
ability to attract top talent, fund innovation and preserve a decent
quality of life is no longer guaranteed."
The 76-page 2010 Silicon Valley Index reports the latest data and trends
in economic development, workforce, housing, education, public health,
land use, environment, governance, arts and culture and other sectors
throughout Santa Clara and San Mateo Counties and portions of Alameda
and Santa Cruz Counties. An accompanying Special Analysis section of the
report each year takes a closer look at a particularly significant
topic.
The Index is published in conjunction with the annual "State of the
Valley" conference, a town hall-style gathering of regional leaders,
elected officials and citizens in a daylong discussion of Silicon
Valley’s economic opportunities, challenges and future. Joint Venture
presents the conference with the Community Foundation as lead sponsor.
The 2010 conference takes place tomorrow, February 12, at the McEnery
San Jose Convention Center.
Highlights of the 2010
Index and Special Analysis include:
-
Foreign
Talent – With increasing global partnerships, Silicon Valley grows
ever more dependent on foreign talent – particularly for filling
science and engineering positions. However, the actions of our
nation in the wake of 9/11 and the rise of other global regions have
made Silicon Valley less accessible and less attractive than it once
was. Inflows from China and India continue to rise, as does
investment and collaboration between the Valley and those two
nations, but China and India are both experiencing rapid economic
growth. As they do, opportunities in those countries will slow the
flow of talent here.
- Investment Capital – Silicon Valley’s
traditional ways of funding innovation – through locally-raised
venture capital and public offerings – can no longer be taken as a
given. Major structural shifts are underway in the funding
community, and the federal government has re-emerged as the major
investor in innovation and basic research. However, Silicon Valley
is not attracting significant shares of federal funding, and has not
for some time.
- Venture Capital – Investment is shifting
away from software and semiconductors and into biotechnology,
energy, medical devices, and media. The level of investment
continues to decline, and venture capitalists generally have not
realized significant returns for the past decade.
- California Government – Silicon Valley is
"slammed" by forces beyond its control, most notably the "malaise"
in our state government. California’s budget crisis and the
political dysfunction in Sacramento has direct and debilitating
effects on the region’s ability to prepare the workforce, provide
crucial infrastructure, maintain quality of life, and keep pace in
the talent race with other regions.
- Higher Education – U.S. and California
investment in higher education is declining at a time when talent
becomes still more important to Silicon Valley.
- Jobs – Between November 2008 and November
2009, employment in Santa Clara and San Mateo Counties dropped 5.8
percent, compared to 3.8 percent nationally. Silicon Valley lost
90,000 jobs between the second quarter of 2008 and 2009, bringing
total employment down to 2005 levels. The "green" economy accounted
for 12,000 jobs in the region.
- Housing – Residential foreclosure activity
dropped by 39 percent in 2009 yet in some cities more than a third
of sales are foreclosures. Housing affordability for first-time
homebuyers is improving. New affordable housing units in the region
doubled from 2008 to 2009. Average rents declined six percent from
2008, the first drop in rents since 2005.
- Commercial Real Estate – Office vacancy
rates are at an all-time high since 1998 and were up 33 percent in
2009 over 2008.
- Transit – Silicon Valley continues to
expand transit-oriented development. Newly approved housing averaged
more than 20 units per acre for the fifth consecutive year. More
than 60 percent of new residential construction is within walking
distance of the region’s transit infrastructure.
- Fuel Consumption – Silicon Valley
residents consumed roughly 50 gallons of fuel less per person than
the rest of California in 2008, a reversal from 2000. Since 2002,
vehicle miles traveled has decreased 14 percent while gas prices
have increased 91 percent.
"Clearly, this is no
time for complacency," notes the study. "While our region has enjoyed
many advantages in the past, success in the future demands that we think
beyond our prevailing assumptions, organize differently, draw upon still
more ingenuity from our people, and forge new collaborations in order to
compete globally. Our vulnerabilities don’t mean Silicon Valley’s best
days are behind it. But they do suggest we’re a region at risk."
Published annually since 1995, the Silicon Valley Index findings are
reported in five major sections: People (talent flows, diversity);
Economy (innovation, employment, income); Society (preparing for
economic success, early education, arts and culture, health, safety);
Place (environment, land use, housing, commercial space); and Governance
(civic engagement, revenue).
Joint Venture added the Community Foundation as its partner and lead
sponsor on the Index in 2008. |