China Trying to Fight Back US Ban on Its Chip Industry
December 16, 2022
China is spending $143 billion to combat U.S. moves to cut off its
supply of semiconductor technology.
The funds will be used to provide financial subsidies and incentives to
help China's chipmakers develop and acquire semiconductor technology to
withstand the U.S. move.
This is one of three measures, analysts say, taken by Beijing to protect
semiconductor companies supporting its vast electronics, automotive and
military hardware industries.
“China views semiconductors as a strategic resource. Therefore, it wants
to become self-sufficient in all aspects of advanced chip design and
manufacturing,” said Lourdes S. Casanova, director of the Emerging
Markets Institute at Cornell University. “These funds are meant to build
China’s capabilities towards this goal."
Washington issued an order in October barring U.S. companies from
supplying semiconductor chips, chipmaking devices, and updates for past
sales to Chinese companies. It also prohibited American citizens from
working for Chinese semiconductor firms.
The U.S. government Thursday broadened its crackdown on China’s chip
industry by adding memory chipmaker YMTC and 21 "major" Chinese players
in the artificial intelligence chip sector to a Commerce Department
trade blacklist. YMTC's suppliers will now be prevented from shipping
U.S. goods to it without a license.
The U.S. move is likely to hit not just China's semiconductor industry,
but dozens of other businesses as well, such as electronics, artificial
intelligence, and automobile manufacturing that depend on U.S.-made
chips from companies like Nvidia and AMD. The stakes are high. For
instance, Chinese electrical vehicle makers controlled 56% of the global
market in the first half of 2022. Such vehicles depend heavily on
semiconductor chips.
Analysts said the U.S. order may also force non-U.S. companies using
American technology to cut off support for China’s leading factories and
chip designers.
China has initiated the process of challenging the U.S. order at the
World Trade Organization. Its Commerce Ministry has accused the United
States of “generalizing the concept of national security and abusing
export control measures, which hinders the normal international trade in
chips and other products.”
Non-US support
The U.S. move would be much less effective if chipmakers in other
countries, particularly in Japan and the Netherlands, take advantage of
the market vacuum and step up their supplies to China. This is possible
because the new $143 billion package will make it possible for Chinese
firms to offer higher prices. The United States is lobbying both these
countries to refuse Chinese purchase orders.
China is likely to raise this issue during the expected visit of
Japanese Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi to China later this month.
This will be the first visit by the Japanese foreign minister to China.
“Beijing will very likely discuss the issue. It will make it clear that
stopping the supply of semiconductor technology would damage China-Japan
relations,” said Dexter Roberts, author, and principal of Cold Mountain,
an investment management company.
Casanova said the Netherlands and other European countries will likely
follow U.S. policy. “However, other countries have been more reluctant.
For instance, both Mexico and Brazil did not ban Huawei as a possible
supplier of telecom equipment in the 5G auctions in both countries,” she
said.
It is difficult to predict Japan’s response to the U.S. request, she
said. China is Japan’s No. 1 trade partner, with 22%, followed by the
U.S. with 18.5%.
There are no reports of the United States trying to restrict Taiwan, its
close ally, from dealing with the Chinese semiconductor industry. TSMC,
the world’s largest semiconductor company, is based in Taiwan.
“China is the world's largest importer of semiconductors since 2005 and
China’s semiconductor industry relies mainly on imports from the
Taiwanese TSMC,” Casanova said.
Decoupling China’s semiconductor industry from the global supply chain
may hurt U.S. consumers, besides taking away business from American
companies that supply chips to Chinese firms.
“As the U.S. continues to ratchet up efforts to slow the development of
China’s advanced chips sector, there will be an impact on global and
U.S. consumers who will inevitably pay higher prices. There may be
supply shortages of the many products that use chips, from autos to
mobile phones and electronic devices,” Roberts said.
At
the same time, the United States has realized that starving China of
semiconductor technology will not be easy unless it is backed by other
countries. In October, the Peterson Institute of International
Economics, a Washington-based economic research organization, said
semiconductor-producing countries are closely linked to each other in a
supply chain.
“Each of the five major global semiconductor producers—China, South
Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States—is also a large chip
importer. Not all chips are equal, and no producer specializes in every
chip category, leaving even the largest exporters reliant on imports,”
it said.
Despite the odds, the Biden administration has shown it is determined to
delink the Chinese semiconductor industry from the global supply zone.
The trade war in the chip industry is set to intensify because chips are
central to China’s security and industrial growth plans, analysts said.