CPI Up Less Than Expected In November
December 13, 2022
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1
percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing
0.4 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported
today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.1
percent before seasonal adjustment.
The consumer price index compared with respective estimates of 0.3%
and 7.3%.
The index for shelter was by far the largest contributor to the
monthly all items increase, more than offsetting decreases in energy
indexes. The food index increased 0.5 percent over the month with
the food at home index also rising 0.5 percent. The energy index
decreased 1.6 percent over the month as the gasoline index, the
natural gas index, and the electricity index all declined.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in
November, after rising 0.3 percent in October. The indexes for
shelter, communication, recreation, motor vehicle insurance,
education, and apparel were among those that increased over the
month. Indexes which declined in November include the used cars and
trucks, medical care, and airline fares indexes.
The all items index increased 7.1 percent for the 12 months ending
November; this was the smallest 12-month increase since the period
ending December 2021. The all items less food and energy index rose
6.0 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 13.1
percent for the 12 months ending November, and the food index
increased 10.6 percent over the last year; all of these increases
were smaller than for the period ending October.

The food index increased 0.5 percent in November following a
0.6-percent increase in October. The food at home index also rose
0.5 percent in November. Four of the six major grocery store food
group indexes increased over the month. The index for fruits and
vegetables increased 1.4 percent in November, after falling 0.9
percent in October. The index for cereals and bakery products rose
1.1 percent over the month while the index for dairy and related
products increased 1.0 percent in November. The index for
nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.7 percent in November, after rising
0.5 percent last month.
In contrast, the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs fell 0.2
percent over the month after increasing 0.6 percent in October. The
beef index fell 0.8 percent over the month, while the pork index
fell 0.3 percent. The index for other food at home also declined in
November, falling 0.1 percent.
The food away from home index rose 0.5 percent in November, after
increasing 0.9 percent in each of the previous 3 months. The index
for limited service meals increased 0.6 percent over the month and
the index for full service meals increased 0.4 percent.
The food at home index rose 12.0 percent over the last 12 months.
The index for cereals and bakery products and the index for dairy
and related products both rose 16.4 percent over the year. The
remaining major grocery store food groups posted increases ranging
from 6.8 percent (meats, poultry, fish, and eggs) to 13.9 percent
(other food at home).
The index for food away from home rose 8.5 percent over the last
year. The index for full service meals rose 9.0 percent over the
last 12 months, and the index for limited service meals rose 6.7
percent over the same period.
Energy
The energy index fell 1.6 percent in November after rising 1.8
percent in October. The gasoline index declined 2.0 percent over the
month, following a 4.0-percent increase in October. (Before seasonal
adjustment, gasoline prices fell 3.6 percent in November.) The index
for natural gas continued to decline over the month, falling 3.5
percent after decreasing 4.6 percent in October. The electricity
index decreased 0.2 percent in November.
The energy index rose 13.1 percent over the past 12 months. The
gasoline index increased 10.1 percent over the span and the fuel oil
index rose 65.7 percent. The index for electricity rose 13.7 percent
over the last 12 months, and the index for natural gas increased
15.5 percent over the same period.
All items less food and energy
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in
November, its smallest increase since August 2021. The shelter index
continued to increase, rising 0.6 percent over the month. The rent
index rose 0.8 percent over the month, and the owners' equivalent
rent index rose 0.7 percent. The index for lodging away from home
decreased 0.7 percent in November, after rising 4.9 percent in
October.
The shelter index was the dominant factor in the monthly increase in
the index for all items less food and energy; other components were
a mix of increases and declines. Among the indexes that rose in
November was the index for communication which increased 1.0 percent
over the month after decreasing 0.1 percent in October. The index
for recreation rose 0.5 percent in November, following a 0.7-percent
increase in the previous month. The motor vehicle insurance index
increased 0.9 percent in November, the personal care index rose 0.7
percent, and the education index rose 0.3 percent over the month.
In contrast, the medical care index fell 0.5 percent in November, as
it did in October. The index for hospital and related services
decreased 0.3 percent over the month, and the index for prescription
drugs declined 0.2 percent. The index for physicians' services was
unchanged in November.
Other indexes which declined over the month include the index for
used cars and trucks, which fell 2.9 percent in November, the fifth
consecutive decline in that index. The index for airline fares fell
3.0 percent over the month, following a 1.1-percent decrease in
October. The index for household furnishings and operations was
unchanged in November, as was the index for new vehicles.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 6.0 percent over
the past 12 months. The shelter index increased 7.1 percent over the
last year, accounting for nearly half of the total increase in all
items less food and energy. Other indexes with notable increases
over the last year include household furnishings and operations
(+7.6 percent), medical care (+4.2 percent), new vehicles (+7.2
percent), and recreation (+4.7 percent).
Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures
The
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 7.1
percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 297.711
(1982-84=100). For the month, the index decreased 0.1 percent prior
to seasonal adjustment.
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers
(CPI-W) increased 7.1 percent over the last 12 months to an index
level of 292.495 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index decreased
0.2 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.
The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U)
increased 6.9 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the
index decreased 0.1 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. |