Open RAN Keeps Rolling
December 6, 2022
Samsung, Fujitsu, NEC, and Mavenir Are the Top 4 Open
RAN Vendors
According
to the Dell’Oro Group, the Open RAN train continues to
move forward and accelerate at a faster pace than
expected. Preliminary findings suggest the regional
drivers that shaped the Open RAN market in the first
half of 2022 extended into the third quarter, propelling
Open RAN revenues to more than double on a
year-over-year basis.
“While commercial Open RAN revenues continue to surprise
on the upside, the underlying message that we have
communicated now for some time now has not changed and
remains mixed,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President
with the Dell’Oro Group. “Early adopters are embracing
the movement towards more openness but at the same time,
there is more uncertainty when it comes to the early
majority operator and the implications for the broader
RAN supplier landscape now with non-multi vendor
deployments driving a significant portion of the
year-to-date Open RAN market,” continued Pongratz.
Additional Open RAN highlights from the 3Q 2022 RAN
report:
Top 4 Open RAN revenue suppliers for the 1Q22-3Q22
period include Samsung, Fujitsu, NEC, and Mavenir.
Trials are on the rise globally, however, North America
and the Asia Pacific regions are still dominating the
commercial revenue mix over the 1Q22-3Q22 period,
accounting for more than 95 percent of the market.
More
than 80 percent of the year-to-date growth is driven by
the North America region, supported by large scale
non-Massive MIMO and Massive MIMO macro deployments.
The rise of Open RAN has so far had a limited impact on
the broader RAN (proprietary and Open RAN) market
concentration. The data contained in the report suggest
that the collective RAN share of the top 5 RAN suppliers
(Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE, and Samsung) declined by
less than one percentage point between 2021 and
1Q22-3Q22.
Short-term projections have been revised upward to
reflect the higher baseline – Open RAN is now projected
to account for 6 to 10 percent of the RAN market in
2023. Open RAN growth rates, however, are expected to
decelerate next year, reflecting the likelihood that the
sum of new brownfield deployments will be able to offset
more challenging comparisons with the early adopters.